Yishun North allegedly most crime-prone estate in S'pore

When the statistics fit the narrative.

Belmont Lay | July 13, 2018, 04:58 PM

Yishun North has been identified as the most crime-prone estate in Singapore, according to a study conducted by financial research analysts ValuePenguin.

Methodology

The analysis relied on crime data recorded by Neighbourhood Police Centres and compiled by the Singapore Police Force from 2012 to 2016.

Research analyst William Hoffman then identified five districts with the least amount of crimes reported and five others that are more prone to criminal activities.

The neighbourhood rankings take into account a wide range of crimes including robbery, housebreaking, snatch theft, motor vehicle theft, unlicensed moneylending and unlicensed moneylending harassment.

Safest

The five safest estates are:

Bukit Timah

Bishan

Kampong Java

Marine Parade

Sembawang

The five more crime-prone estates are:

Yishun North

Nanyang

Jurong West

Tampines

Woodlands East

Here is a table:

Rank Neighbourhood No. of Crimes 2016 Average No. of Crimes (2012 - 2016)
1 Bukit Timah 51 69.4
2 Bishan 72 127.8
3 Kampong Java 76 127.4
4 Marine Parade 80 106.0
5 Sembawang 83 121.4
6 Marina Bay 96 118.0
7 Serangoon 105 184.6
8 Changi 108 223.2
9 Bedok South 111 190.0
10 Queenstown 122 220.4
11 Bukit Merah West 125 212.2
12 Punggol 131 138.3
13 Jurong East 132 235.4
14 Ang Mo Kio South 134 233.6
15 Orchard 139 145.8
16 Pasir Ris 139 253.6
17 Bukit Merah East 140 260.8
18 Rochor 141 239.4
19 Clementi 144 234.0
20 Yishun South 145 184.8
21 Toa Payoh 161 281.4
22 Ang Mo Kio North 178 283.6
23 Bukit Panjang 200 304.2
24 Woodlands West 202 258.6
25 Bukit Batok 205 332.0
26 Sengkang 227 357.2
27 Bedok North 227 420.8
28 Hougang 232 454.8
29 Geylang 232 363.6
30 Choa Chu Kang 245 385.6
31 Woodlands East 259 430.4
32 Tampines 266 449.8
33 Jurong West 275 391.0
34 Nanyang 280 456.4
35 Yishun North 284 327.6

Limitations

There are a few limitations with the available data though.

For a start, it does not allow for simple population or geographic area standardisation.

As a result, this study could not be about crime per person or per square meter of area.

Instead, this required the study to be based on the total number of crimes committed in each planning area.

But the data still gives a sense of how unlikely it is to encounter a crime in each neighbourhood?

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Crime decreasing

The good news, though, is that crime has been on a downward trend in Singapore since 2015:

Top photo via Yishun North NPC