Former Ang Mo Kio GRC PAP MP Inderjit Singh has just written a Facebook note containing more than 3,700 words analysing the General Election 2015 vote result and explaining in some detail the 10 percent swing to the PAP.
Known as one of the rare PAP MPs who doesn't mince his words — and who no longer suffers from the trappings of political office having just retired from politics — his analysis can be seen as a refreshing take on events from an insider who is privy to the incumbent's inner mechanisms.
From revealing his personal mood and predictions in the lead up to GE2015 polling day, to his own view that some PAP politicians should have stood out more and taken a moral high ground during the hustings period, Inderjit's frankness is appreciated, especially by those wondering what on earth goes on in the PAP camp sometimes.
Here are 6 things he wrote that will catch your eye:
1. Two individuals, Lee Hsien Loong and Tharman Shanmugaratnam, increased the PAP's vote share by 4 per cent — on their own
"In my view, one of the reasons for this was that PM’s personal popularity increased by 1% to 2%, especially after his lunch-time rally speech at Raffles Place. The same goes for DPM Tharman whose speech at Bukit Panjang reinforced among voters that he is one of the top Finance Ministers in the world."
Inderjit also wrote:
"Prime Minister did well and has got his politics right this time. So did DPM Tharman. Now the rest of the PAP leaders need to get their politics right too."
2. Elitism and arrogance cost the PAP and Workers' Party votes
"Elitism is also something the PAP government should be concerned about especially since the party continues to choose the elites to become key appointment holders. I don’t think Singaporeans will want to see a “natural aristocracy” develop.
[...]
(On arrogance, I believe the WP leaders’ arrogance also contributed to their decline this time as clearly seen by the erosion of votes the WP got in Aljunied, against a relatively new team from the PAP)."
3. Four factors that can never be replicated in the next GE: SG50, Lee Kuan Yew's passing, the Pioneer Generation Package & instability worldwide
"Points 1, 2, 3 and 6 were unique and perhaps a once in 50 years phenomenon and will not appear again in GE2020 but I believe these gave the PAP a positive swing of around 2% to 3%."
4. Middle-income and middle-aged Singaporeans are major swing voters in GE2020 as they bear the brunt of policies
"Middle aged Singaporeans were the main swing voters in GE2015. They were angry with the PAP because of cost of living issues. Wages went up but cost of living went up faster and they could not keep up with the pace.
[...]
The PAP must focus more on the middle aged and I dare say middle income Singaporeans who will continue to be the swing voters again in GE2020. The cost of living issues must be addressed effectively over the next 5 years to win more of this group of voters over."
5. PAP's new candidates slated for ministerial positions failed to stand out
"Connecting with the ground – speaking to the heart. PM Lee and DPM Tharman contributed greatly this time but I don’t think many others of the senior PAP leaders could connect well with voters. In fact a number of the younger opposition candidates did very well in connecting with voters, particularly the younger voters. It was a pity that not many of the PAP new candidates, especially those slated to take on ministerial positions stood out during GE2015."
6. The PAP should have taken the moral high ground
"Voters would have liked a more calculated, calm and gentlemanly approach from the PAP and even if the opposition got aggressive, the PAP would have done better by taking the higher moral ground. Unfortunately, some leaders also went on an offensive but some of the opposition reacted more calmly than the PAP did. The PAP lost some ground because of this."
Here is the Facebook note:
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Posted by Inderjit Singh on Wednesday, September 16, 2015
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Outspoken PAP MP Inderjit Singh first to announce his retirement
Top photo via Inderjit Singh Facebook
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